Despite successive prosecutions, former President Donald Trump, who received overwhelming support in the race for the Republican Party’s internal presidential election, tied with Democratic President Joe Biden in a virtual bilateral confrontation.
It was investigated that support within the Democratic Party for President Biden, his senior, is also expanding. In the absence of a clear alternative candidate ahead of the 2024 presidential election, supporters of the Democratic Party and the Republican Party are mobilizing in support of President Biden and former President Trump, respectively.
As a result, the 2024 US presidential election is likely to be held as a return match between President Biden and former President Trump.
According to a poll conducted by the New York Times (NYT) and Siena University, 1,329 voters released on the 1st, respondents who would support President Biden or former President Trump in the 2024 presidential election 43% of each 4% said they would choose another candidate, and 10% did not respond.
Compared to the survey conducted by the NYT and the University of Siena on July 5-7 last year, the approval ratings of President Biden and former President Trump decreased by 1 percentage point for President Biden and increased by 3 percentage points for former President Trump.
In the case of former President Trump, it was found that he maintained his competitiveness in the finals despite being indicted one after another this year on charges of keeping the sex scandal quiet and leaking confidential information. It is analysed that this is due to the overwhelming support of Republican supporters for former President Trump.
In a survey released the day before by the NYT and the University of Siena, 54% of Republican-leaning voters supported former President Trump. President Biden is also gaining solid support in the Democratic Party. 64% of voters with a propensity to support the Democratic Party chose President Biden as their next candidate. Furthermore, when asked whether the Democratic Party should elect the incumbent President Biden as its presidential candidate regardless of competing candidates, 45% of Democratic-leaning voters answered yes. Compared to the survey a year ago (26%), support within the party for President Biden’s re-election has risen significantly.
The New York Times (NYT) cited economic policies such as the Supreme Court’s decision to abolish abortion rights, the Democratic Party’s midterm elections, and slowing inflation as the reasons for this ‘change in voter sentiment’. However, 50% of the answer was that someone other than President Biden should be nominated. Although it has decreased from 64% in July last year, it is still a high figure.